Trader consensus clusters around 56–59°F for San Francisco’s August 31 overnight low because NWS and model guidance show a deepening marine layer and persistent upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest delivering cool, moist southwest flow. Onshore winds and extensive stratus limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 56°F climatological average. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on marine-layer depth and wind speeds: stronger gradients or thicker clouds favor the 54–55°F range, while modest clearing supports 58–59°F. With no sharp model shifts in the latest runs and resolution occurring within hours, implied probabilities reflect tight uncertainty around these near-term forecast variables rather than any single outlier scenario.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
56-57°F 54%
58-59°F 36%
54-55°F 26%
60-61°F 25%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
4%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
36%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
8%
66°F or higher
<1%
56-57°F 54%
58-59°F 36%
54-55°F 26%
60-61°F 25%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$143 Vol.
4%
48-49°F
$85 Vol.
3%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
22%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
24%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
26%
56-57°F
$18 Vol.
36%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
36%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$260 Vol.
8%
66°F or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 56–59°F for San Francisco’s August 31 overnight low because NWS and model guidance show a deepening marine layer and persistent upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest delivering cool, moist southwest flow. Onshore winds and extensive stratus limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 56°F climatological average. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on marine-layer depth and wind speeds: stronger gradients or thicker clouds favor the 54–55°F range, while modest clearing supports 58–59°F. With no sharp model shifts in the latest runs and resolution occurring within hours, implied probabilities reflect tight uncertainty around these near-term forecast variables rather than any single outlier scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$711শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 56–59°F for San Francisco’s August 31 overnight low because NWS and model guidance show a deepening marine layer and persistent upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest delivering cool, moist southwest flow. Onshore winds and extensive stratus limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 56°F climatological average. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on marine-layer depth and wind speeds: stronger gradients or thicker clouds favor the 54–55°F range, while modest clearing supports 58–59°F. With no sharp model shifts in the latest runs and resolution occurring within hours, implied probabilities reflect tight uncertainty around these near-term forecast variables rather than any single outlier scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$711শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 56–59°F for San Francisco’s August 31 overnight low because NWS and model guidance show a deepening marine layer and persistent upper-level trough off the Pacific Northwest delivering cool, moist southwest flow. Onshore winds and extensive stratus limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near or slightly below the 56°F climatological average. Subtle differences among leading bins hinge on marine-layer depth and wind speeds: stronger gradients or thicker clouds favor the 54–55°F range, while modest clearing supports 58–59°F. With no sharp model shifts in the latest runs and resolution occurring within hours, implied probabilities reflect tight uncertainty around these near-term forecast variables rather than any single outlier scenario.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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