**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 31 centers on 24–25°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with official forecasts amid the ongoing rainy season.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum of 24–26°C for the day, with morning fog or mist giving way to partly to mostly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms (5–25 mm or higher in spots). This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities—24°C at 40.5% and 25°C at 30.5%—reflecting aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and historical late-August patterns in the Valley of Mexico. Persistent moisture from the Mexican monsoon, combined with low-level convergence and tropical waves, favors widespread cloud cover and convective activity that limits daytime solar heating and caps highs. Recent observations show temperatures running near or slightly below seasonal norms (typical August maxima ~22–26°C) due to above-average rainfall and humidity. Models diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of storms, introducing minor uncertainty around whether peaks reach the mid-20s or stay closer to 23°C. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum reported by SMN or equivalent verified station data; traders appear to weigh the official 24–26°C range most heavily while discounting outlier drier scenarios that could push readings higher. No major shifts in large-scale steering patterns have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this outlook significantly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 31?
24°C 41%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
22°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
41%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 41%
25°C 31%
23°C 20%
22°C 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
20%
24°C
41%
25°C
31%
26°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Mexico City on August 31 centers on 24–25°C as the most probable outcomes, consistent with official forecasts amid the ongoing rainy season.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projects a maximum of 24–26°C for the day, with morning fog or mist giving way to partly to mostly cloudy skies and a chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms (5–25 mm or higher in spots). This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities—24°C at 40.5% and 25°C at 30.5%—reflecting aggregated trader assessment of model consensus and historical late-August patterns in the Valley of Mexico. Persistent moisture from the Mexican monsoon, combined with low-level convergence and tropical waves, favors widespread cloud cover and convective activity that limits daytime solar heating and caps highs. Recent observations show temperatures running near or slightly below seasonal norms (typical August maxima ~22–26°C) due to above-average rainfall and humidity. Models diverge modestly on exact timing and intensity of storms, introducing minor uncertainty around whether peaks reach the mid-20s or stay closer to 23°C. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum reported by SMN or equivalent verified station data; traders appear to weigh the official 24–26°C range most heavily while discounting outlier drier scenarios that could push readings higher. No major shifts in large-scale steering patterns have emerged in the past 24–48 hours to alter this outlook significantly.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা