**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026, with 18°C and 19°C leading at 33.5% and 31.5%.** This reflects model consensus on a mild overnight low amid clear or mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with no significant precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate temperature drops. Current forecasts from multiple sources place the low near 19–20°C (68–68°F), close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 19.4°C for the date. Recent cooling—evidenced by observed minima of 18.1°C on August 28 and 18.4°C on August 29—supports the elevated probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes. Subtle differences in model runs arise mainly from variations in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and the precise timing of any thin cloud development, which can alter nocturnal cooling rates by 1–2°C. With resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations and no major weather systems approaching, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty around the 18–19°C range rather than a decisive single outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
21°C 49%
15°C 45%
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
45%
16°C
24%
17°C
26%
18°C
34%
19°C
32%
20°C
26%
21°C
49%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
<1%
21°C 49%
15°C 45%
18°C 34%
19°C 32%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
$705 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$140 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
34%
19°C
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$1 Vol.
24%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026, with 18°C and 19°C leading at 33.5% and 31.5%.** This reflects model consensus on a mild overnight low amid clear or mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with no significant precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate temperature drops.
Current forecasts from multiple sources place the low near 19–20°C (68–68°F), close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 19.4°C for the date. Recent cooling—evidenced by observed minima of 18.1°C on August 28 and 18.4°C on August 29—supports the elevated probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes. Subtle differences in model runs arise mainly from variations in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and the precise timing of any thin cloud development, which can alter nocturnal cooling rates by 1–2°C.
With resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations and no major weather systems approaching, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty around the 18–19°C range rather than a decisive single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$996শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026, with 18°C and 19°C leading at 33.5% and 31.5%.** This reflects model consensus on a mild overnight low amid clear or mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with no significant precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate temperature drops.
Current forecasts from multiple sources place the low near 19–20°C (68–68°F), close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 19.4°C for the date. Recent cooling—evidenced by observed minima of 18.1°C on August 28 and 18.4°C on August 29—supports the elevated probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes. Subtle differences in model runs arise mainly from variations in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and the precise timing of any thin cloud development, which can alter nocturnal cooling rates by 1–2°C.
With resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations and no major weather systems approaching, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty around the 18–19°C range rather than a decisive single outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$996শেষ তারিখ
Aug 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–20°C for Beijing’s minimum temperature on August 31, 2026, with 18°C and 19°C leading at 33.5% and 31.5%.** This reflects model consensus on a mild overnight low amid clear or mostly clear skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with no significant precipitation or cloud cover expected to moderate temperature drops. Current forecasts from multiple sources place the low near 19–20°C (68–68°F), close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 19.4°C for the date. Recent cooling—evidenced by observed minima of 18.1°C on August 28 and 18.4°C on August 29—supports the elevated probabilities for 17–19°C outcomes. Subtle differences in model runs arise mainly from variations in predicted wind speeds, dew points, and the precise timing of any thin cloud development, which can alter nocturnal cooling rates by 1–2°C. With resolution based on official China Meteorological Administration observations and no major weather systems approaching, traders are pricing in genuine forecast uncertainty around the 18–19°C range rather than a decisive single outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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