**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based sources and European meteorological services, converge on a daytime maximum of 22–23 °C in Paris on 31 August 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C (53.5 %) followed by 24 °C (29.5 %).** Late-summer climatology already favors gradual cooling after peak August warmth; the climatological normal high for the date is approximately 23.8 °C. The present synoptic pattern features persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and limited insolation, which suppresses surface heating and keeps afternoon temperatures near or slightly below average. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with most runs peaking at 22–23 °C and limited upside risk from clearing skies or weaker winds. Higher outcomes (25 °C+) remain improbable under the current stable, moist airmass and lack of strong anticyclonic subsidence. Traders are therefore pricing the forecast consensus directly, with the narrow band around the expected maximum reflecting both model agreement and the short time remaining until resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on August 31?
23°C 54%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 3%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
54%
24°C
30%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 30%
22°C 15%
25°C 3%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
15%
23°C
54%
24°C
30%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-based sources and European meteorological services, converge on a daytime maximum of 22–23 °C in Paris on 31 August 2026, aligning closely with the market’s heaviest weighting on 23 °C (53.5 %) followed by 24 °C (29.5 %).** Late-summer climatology already favors gradual cooling after peak August warmth; the climatological normal high for the date is approximately 23.8 °C. The present synoptic pattern features persistent cloud cover, moderate southwesterly flow, and limited insolation, which suppresses surface heating and keeps afternoon temperatures near or slightly below average. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, with most runs peaking at 22–23 °C and limited upside risk from clearing skies or weaker winds. Higher outcomes (25 °C+) remain improbable under the current stable, moist airmass and lack of strong anticyclonic subsidence. Traders are therefore pricing the forecast consensus directly, with the narrow band around the expected maximum reflecting both model agreement and the short time remaining until resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা