Recent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with June unanimous and July showing three dissents favoring a hike amid elevated inflation. June SEP projections lifted 2026 PCE inflation to a 3.6% median from prior 2.7% estimates, citing Middle East supply shocks and energy prices, while marking up the appropriate policy rate path and removing prior easing signals. Stable labor conditions near 4.3% unemployment have supported the pause consensus through mid-2026, yet futures markets and trader positioning reflect balanced odds on a September move given the data-dependent stance and upcoming inflation prints. The tight 50-50 split between all-pause and other sequences highlights uncertainty over whether incoming August data will sustain disinflation or prompt tightening before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডPause–Pause–Pause 50%
Other 50%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$834,653 Vol.
$834,653 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
50%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Other
50%
Pause–Pause–Pause 50%
Other 50%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$834,653 Vol.
$834,653 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$320,520 Vol.
50%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$99,326 Vol.
1%
Other
$358,931 Vol.
50%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with June unanimous and July showing three dissents favoring a hike amid elevated inflation. June SEP projections lifted 2026 PCE inflation to a 3.6% median from prior 2.7% estimates, citing Middle East supply shocks and energy prices, while marking up the appropriate policy rate path and removing prior easing signals. Stable labor conditions near 4.3% unemployment have supported the pause consensus through mid-2026, yet futures markets and trader positioning reflect balanced odds on a September move given the data-dependent stance and upcoming inflation prints. The tight 50-50 split between all-pause and other sequences highlights uncertainty over whether incoming August data will sustain disinflation or prompt tightening before year-end.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ভলিউম
$834,653শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with June unanimous and July showing three dissents favoring a hike amid elevated inflation. June SEP projections lifted 2026 PCE inflation to a 3.6% median from prior 2.7% estimates, citing Middle East supply shocks and energy prices, while marking up the appropriate policy rate path and removing prior easing signals. Stable labor conditions near 4.3% unemployment have supported the pause consensus through mid-2026, yet futures markets and trader positioning reflect balanced odds on a September move given the data-dependent stance and upcoming inflation prints. The tight 50-50 split between all-pause and other sequences highlights uncertainty over whether incoming August data will sustain disinflation or prompt tightening before year-end.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ভলিউম
$834,653শেষ তারিখ
Sep 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75%, with June unanimous and July showing three dissents favoring a hike amid elevated inflation. June SEP projections lifted 2026 PCE inflation to a 3.6% median from prior 2.7% estimates, citing Middle East supply shocks and energy prices, while marking up the appropriate policy rate path and removing prior easing signals. Stable labor conditions near 4.3% unemployment have supported the pause consensus through mid-2026, yet futures markets and trader positioning reflect balanced odds on a September move given the data-dependent stance and upcoming inflation prints. The tight 50-50 split between all-pause and other sequences highlights uncertainty over whether incoming August data will sustain disinflation or prompt tightening before year-end.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা