The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.72%, faces upward pressure primarily from sticky core inflation around 3.3% and elevated Treasury supply amid widening fiscal deficits. Persistent price pressures have shifted market-implied odds toward fewer or no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with some participants now pricing in potential hikes, supporting a higher term premium. Strong economic growth and geopolitical risks tied to energy prices further anchor yields above historical neutral levels. Traders are watching the next FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases for signals on whether inflation reaccelerates or labor market data prompts policy easing, which could cap any near-term advance before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$286,324 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
69%
5.0%
35%
5.2%
6%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
6%
$286,324 Vol.
4.8%
$59,319 Vol.
69%
5.0%
$81,291 Vol.
35%
5.2%
$26,278 Vol.
6%
5.5%
$5,832 Vol.
7%
5.7%
$4,234 Vol.
6%
6.0%
$3,084 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.72%, faces upward pressure primarily from sticky core inflation around 3.3% and elevated Treasury supply amid widening fiscal deficits. Persistent price pressures have shifted market-implied odds toward fewer or no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with some participants now pricing in potential hikes, supporting a higher term premium. Strong economic growth and geopolitical risks tied to energy prices further anchor yields above historical neutral levels. Traders are watching the next FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases for signals on whether inflation reaccelerates or labor market data prompts policy easing, which could cap any near-term advance before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$286,324শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.72%, faces upward pressure primarily from sticky core inflation around 3.3% and elevated Treasury supply amid widening fiscal deficits. Persistent price pressures have shifted market-implied odds toward fewer or no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with some participants now pricing in potential hikes, supporting a higher term premium. Strong economic growth and geopolitical risks tied to energy prices further anchor yields above historical neutral levels. Traders are watching the next FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases for signals on whether inflation reaccelerates or labor market data prompts policy easing, which could cap any near-term advance before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ভলিউম
$286,324শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.72%, faces upward pressure primarily from sticky core inflation around 3.3% and elevated Treasury supply amid widening fiscal deficits. Persistent price pressures have shifted market-implied odds toward fewer or no Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with some participants now pricing in potential hikes, supporting a higher term premium. Strong economic growth and geopolitical risks tied to energy prices further anchor yields above historical neutral levels. Traders are watching the next FOMC meeting and upcoming CPI releases for signals on whether inflation reaccelerates or labor market data prompts policy easing, which could cap any near-term advance before 2027.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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