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icon for 云林县地方法官选举获胜者

云林县地方法官选举获胜者

icon for 云林县地方法官选举获胜者

云林县地方法官选举获胜者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for 张嘉郡

张嘉郡

$644 交易量

84%

icon for 刘建国

刘建国

$362 交易量

14%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The KMT's March 2026 nomination of lawmaker Chang Chia-chun for the November 28 Yunlin County Magistrate race underpins her dominant trader positioning, building on the party's hold of the seat since Chang Li-shan's 2018 victory and its entrenched local networks in this rural county. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo, the main opposition nominee, faces structural headwinds in a constituency where KMT organizational advantages have persisted. Recent developments, including KMT candidate rallies in July and Chang's policy announcements on local issues, have sustained the gap without notable disruptions. Market pricing reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these party dynamics and incumbency patterns ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$966
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The KMT's March 2026 nomination of lawmaker Chang Chia-chun for the November 28 Yunlin County Magistrate race underpins her dominant trader positioning, building on the party's hold of the seat since Chang Li-shan's 2018 victory and its entrenched local networks in this rural county. DPP legislator Liu Chien-kuo, the main opposition nominee, faces structural headwinds in a constituency where KMT organizational advantages have persisted. Recent developments, including KMT candidate rallies in July and Chang's policy announcements on local issues, have sustained the gap without notable disruptions. Market pricing reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these party dynamics and incumbency patterns ahead of election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$966
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Yunlin County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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常见问题

"云林县地方法官选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"张嘉郡",概率为 84%,其次是"刘建国",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 84¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 84%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"云林县地方法官选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"云林县地方法官选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"云林县地方法官选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"张嘉郡",概率为 84%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 84%。紧随其后的结果是"刘建国",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"云林县地方法官选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。