**Trader sentiment for the "Where will it rain on August 28?" market is now anchored in finalized NOAA and National Weather Service precipitation observations rather than forecasts.** On August 28, 2026, scattered showers and thunderstorms delivered measurable rainfall across portions of the Southeast, Midwest, and isolated western areas, while many locations recorded none. Official daily summaries and radar estimates show localized totals of 0.1–0.5 inches in affected zones, consistent with typical late-August convective patterns under moderate instability and weak steering flow. Resolution hinges on station-specific gauges (e.g., airport ASOS reports) meeting the market’s geographic and threshold criteria, with any post-event revisions considered only until the next day’s data finalize. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the high spatial variability of summer rainfall, where small shifts in storm tracks or timing can swing outcomes between listed cities or regions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日会在哪里下雨?
$9,140 交易量
纽约,纽约
5%
洛杉矶,加利福尼亚州
<1%
芝加哥,伊利诺伊州
<1%
休斯顿,德克萨斯州
100%
达拉斯,德克萨斯州
48%
亚利桑那州菲尼克斯
7%
费城,宾夕法尼亚州
3%
丹佛,科罗拉多
4%
华盛顿特区
<1%
亚特兰大,乔治亚州
8%
迈阿密,佛罗里达
<1%
华盛顿州西雅图
-
马萨诸塞州波士顿
4%
新奥尔良,路易斯安那州
4%
旧金山,加利福尼亚州
9%
$9,140 交易量
纽约,纽约
5%
洛杉矶,加利福尼亚州
<1%
芝加哥,伊利诺伊州
<1%
休斯顿,德克萨斯州
100%
达拉斯,德克萨斯州
48%
亚利桑那州菲尼克斯
7%
费城,宾夕法尼亚州
3%
丹佛,科罗拉多
4%
华盛顿特区
<1%
亚特兰大,乔治亚州
8%
迈阿密,佛罗里达
<1%
华盛顿州西雅图
-
马萨诸塞州波士顿
4%
新奥尔良,路易斯安那州
4%
旧金山,加利福尼亚州
9%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
Resolution is based on the most recent CLI report published for the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
**Trader sentiment for the "Where will it rain on August 28?" market is now anchored in finalized NOAA and National Weather Service precipitation observations rather than forecasts.** On August 28, 2026, scattered showers and thunderstorms delivered measurable rainfall across portions of the Southeast, Midwest, and isolated western areas, while many locations recorded none. Official daily summaries and radar estimates show localized totals of 0.1–0.5 inches in affected zones, consistent with typical late-August convective patterns under moderate instability and weak steering flow. Resolution hinges on station-specific gauges (e.g., airport ASOS reports) meeting the market’s geographic and threshold criteria, with any post-event revisions considered only until the next day’s data finalize. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the high spatial variability of summer rainfall, where small shifts in storm tracks or timing can swing outcomes between listed cities or regions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题