US officials have conducted strategic reviews of Middle East force posture following Iranian strikes that damaged multiple Gulf bases during the 2026 conflict, with some reports highlighting Israel as one potential relocation option for assets or expanded facilities in the Negev. However, the White House issued a direct denial in August 2026 of any plan to build a major new base, describing related media reports as based on preliminary inquiries rather than approved policy. Existing US-Israel military ties remain limited to smaller sites such as the Mashabim missile-warning facility and temporary coordination hubs, while broader cooperation has focused on equipment prepositioning, intelligence sharing, and joint operations rather than new permanent basing announcements. With no formal declaration or congressional authorization advancing by mid-September 2026, trader pricing on the market reflects the absence of decisive executive action within the calendar year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
23% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
23% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives. US officials have conducted strategic reviews of Middle East force posture following Iranian strikes that damaged multiple Gulf bases during the 2026 conflict, with some reports highlighting Israel as one potential relocation option for assets or expanded facilities in the Negev. However, the White House issued a direct denial in August 2026 of any plan to build a major new base, describing related media reports as based on preliminary inquiries rather than approved policy. Existing US-Israel military ties remain limited to smaller sites such as the Mashabim missile-warning facility and temporary coordination hubs, while broader cooperation has focused on equipment prepositioning, intelligence sharing, and joint operations rather than new permanent basing announcements. With no formal declaration or congressional authorization advancing by mid-September 2026, trader pricing on the market reflects the absence of decisive executive action within the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
市场开放时间： Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$633结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives. US officials have conducted strategic reviews of Middle East force posture following Iranian strikes that damaged multiple Gulf bases during the 2026 conflict, with some reports highlighting Israel as one potential relocation option for assets or expanded facilities in the Negev. However, the White House issued a direct denial in August 2026 of any plan to build a major new base, describing related media reports as based on preliminary inquiries rather than approved policy. Existing US-Israel military ties remain limited to smaller sites such as the Mashabim missile-warning facility and temporary coordination hubs, while broader cooperation has focused on equipment prepositioning, intelligence sharing, and joint operations rather than new permanent basing announcements. With no formal declaration or congressional authorization advancing by mid-September 2026, trader pricing on the market reflects the absence of decisive executive action within the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will maintain a military presence within the territory of Israel, beyond any presence which may exist at the time of creation of this market, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
A qualifying announcement must be a clear and declarative statement that the United States will station military personnel in Israel indefinitely, beyond any temporary presence that may exist for mission-specific purposes. For purposes of this market, Israel is defined to exclude territory in the West Bank and Gaza, but to include the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the decision to maintain a military presence is ever actually implemented.
Resolution will be based on official information from Donald Trump, the United States Government, the United States military, and their official representatives.
交易量
$633结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jul 1, 2026, 4:57 PM ETUS officials have conducted strategic reviews of Middle East force posture following Iranian strikes that damaged multiple Gulf bases during the 2026 conflict, with some reports highlighting Israel as one potential relocation option for assets or expanded facilities in the Negev. However, the White House issued a direct denial in August 2026 of any plan to build a major new base, describing related media reports as based on preliminary inquiries rather than approved policy. Existing US-Israel military ties remain limited to smaller sites such as the Mashabim missile-warning facility and temporary coordination hubs, while broader cooperation has focused on equipment prepositioning, intelligence sharing, and joint operations rather than new permanent basing announcements. With no formal declaration or congressional authorization advancing by mid-September 2026, trader pricing on the market reflects the absence of decisive executive action within the calendar year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题