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icon for 台南市长选举获胜者

台南市长选举获胜者

icon for 台南市长选举获胜者

台南市长选举获胜者

陈亭妃 80%

谢龙介 17%

林俊宪 3.7%

林义丰 2.0%

Polymarket
最新

陈亭妃 80%

谢龙介 17%

林俊宪 3.7%

林义丰 2.0%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 陈亭妃

陈亭妃

$406 交易量

80%

icon for 谢龙介

谢龙介

$159 交易量

17%

icon for 林俊宪

林俊宪

$94 交易量

4%

icon for 林义丰

林义丰

$113 交易量

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and former legislator, leads the Tainan mayoral race as the clear market favorite after securing her party's primary nomination in January 2026 against Lin Chun-hsien. Tainan's status as a long-standing DPP stronghold underpins trader consensus on her position ahead of the November 28 vote. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh, a sitting legislator, remains the main challenger, though a March 2026 poll showed the gap narrowing to roughly 46-41 percent. Minor candidates including Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien register minimal support. No major new developments have emerged since the spring polling, leaving party loyalty and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors reflected in current implied probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$771
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and former legislator, leads the Tainan mayoral race as the clear market favorite after securing her party's primary nomination in January 2026 against Lin Chun-hsien. Tainan's status as a long-standing DPP stronghold underpins trader consensus on her position ahead of the November 28 vote. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh, a sitting legislator, remains the main challenger, though a March 2026 poll showed the gap narrowing to roughly 46-41 percent. Minor candidates including Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien register minimal support. No major new developments have emerged since the spring polling, leaving party loyalty and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors reflected in current implied probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$771
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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常见问题

"台南市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"陈亭妃",概率为 80%,其次是"谢龙介",概率为 17%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 80¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 80%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"台南市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"台南市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"台南市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"陈亭妃",概率为 80%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 80%。紧随其后的结果是"谢龙介",概率为 17%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"台南市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。