**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.** This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于38-41 74%
42-45 16%
34-37 7.8%
46-49 2.6%
$222,451 交易量
$222,451 交易量
2026-09-06
少于34
<1%
34-37
8%
38-41
74%
42-45
16%
46-49
3%
50+
1%
38-41 74%
42-45 16%
34-37 7.8%
46-49 2.6%
$222,451 交易量
$222,451 交易量
2026-09-06
少于34
$27,975 交易量
<1%
34-37
$49,639 交易量
8%
38-41
$44,732 交易量
74%
42-45
$39,566 交易量
16%
46-49
$34,660 交易量
3%
50+
$25,879 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.**
This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
交易量
$222,451结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.**
This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$222,451结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET**Recent polling in the final days before the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election shows the AfD holding steady near 41%, well ahead of the CDU at 22-23%, with the Left around 11-12% and smaller parties clustered near or below the 5% threshold.** This vote share, combined with the electoral system's mechanics—where parties clearing the hurdle receive proportional seats in a parliament of at least 83 members—points to roughly 38-41 seats for the AfD in most projections. Minor parties' performance on election day will influence final seat totals through overhang and threshold effects, while the CDU-led incumbent coalition and other parties continue to rule out cooperation with the AfD. Trader consensus reflects these stable late-campaign figures and the limited scope for major last-minute shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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