Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt have placed the CDU vote share in the low-to-mid 20s, typically between 22% and 24%, after steady declines from 37.1% in 2021. The party under incumbent Minister-President Sven Schulze has faced consistent pressure from the leading AfD, which polls above 40%, amid voter dissatisfaction with the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition and limited national tailwinds. Late-campaign surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA show only modest movement in CDU support, keeping outcomes clustered around the 20-26% range. Tight trader pricing between the 20-23% and 23-26% bins reflects this polling stability alongside uncertainty over final turnout and any last-minute shifts in eastern German voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于20-23% 42%
23-26% 35%
<20% 13%
26%+ 10%
$48,137 交易量
$48,137 交易量
<20%
13%
20-23%
42%
23-26%
35%
26%+
10%
20-23% 42%
23-26% 35%
<20% 13%
26%+ 10%
$48,137 交易量
$48,137 交易量
<20%
13%
20-23%
42%
23-26%
35%
26%+
10%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Landtag election in Sachsen-Anhalt have placed the CDU vote share in the low-to-mid 20s, typically between 22% and 24%, after steady declines from 37.1% in 2021. The party under incumbent Minister-President Sven Schulze has faced consistent pressure from the leading AfD, which polls above 40%, amid voter dissatisfaction with the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition and limited national tailwinds. Late-campaign surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and INSA show only modest movement in CDU support, keeping outcomes clustered around the 20-26% range. Tight trader pricing between the 20-23% and 23-26% bins reflects this polling stability alongside uncertainty over final turnout and any last-minute shifts in eastern German voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题