Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot on August 10, 2026, after a Rodina lawsuit, following initial Central Election Commission registration in July. This exclusion from the proportional representation component of the September 18–20 State Duma elections means the party cannot receive list votes or clear the 5% threshold required for seats, aligning with its consistent sub-5% results in every national election since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and limited media access. Traders view reversal as improbable given the tight timeline and prior appeal outcomes. Remaining single-member constituency candidacies do not affect the list-based market resolution. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court or procedural reversal remains the primary, albeit low-probability, factor that could shift the outcome before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
<1% 概率
$499,528 交易量
$499,528 交易量
2026-09-20
是
<1% 概率
$499,528 交易量
$499,528 交易量
2026-09-20
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot on August 10, 2026, after a Rodina lawsuit, following initial Central Election Commission registration in July. This exclusion from the proportional representation component of the September 18–20 State Duma elections means the party cannot receive list votes or clear the 5% threshold required for seats, aligning with its consistent sub-5% results in every national election since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and limited media access. Traders view reversal as improbable given the tight timeline and prior appeal outcomes. Remaining single-member constituency candidacies do not affect the list-based market resolution. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court or procedural reversal remains the primary, albeit low-probability, factor that could shift the outcome before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
交易量
$499,528结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot on August 10, 2026, after a Rodina lawsuit, following initial Central Election Commission registration in July. This exclusion from the proportional representation component of the September 18–20 State Duma elections means the party cannot receive list votes or clear the 5% threshold required for seats, aligning with its consistent sub-5% results in every national election since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and limited media access. Traders view reversal as improbable given the tight timeline and prior appeal outcomes. Remaining single-member constituency candidacies do not affect the list-based market resolution. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court or procedural reversal remains the primary, albeit low-probability, factor that could shift the outcome before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$499,528结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETRussia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko from the nationwide party-list ballot on August 10, 2026, after a Rodina lawsuit, following initial Central Election Commission registration in July. This exclusion from the proportional representation component of the September 18–20 State Duma elections means the party cannot receive list votes or clear the 5% threshold required for seats, aligning with its consistent sub-5% results in every national election since 1999 amid documented administrative barriers, candidate disqualifications, and limited media access. Traders view reversal as improbable given the tight timeline and prior appeal outcomes. Remaining single-member constituency candidacies do not affect the list-based market resolution. Late reinstatement via Constitutional Court or procedural reversal remains the primary, albeit low-probability, factor that could shift the outcome before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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