Skip to main content
icon for 澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者

澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者

icon for 澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者

澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者

陈振中 47%

邱妮安 42%

叶竹林 42%

吴素金 41%

Polymarket
最新

陈振中 47%

邱妮安 42%

叶竹林 42%

吴素金 41%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 陈振中

陈振中

$0 交易量

47%

icon for 邱妮安

邱妮安

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 叶竹林

叶竹林

$0 交易量

42%

icon for 吴素金

吴素金

$0 交易量

41%

icon for 陈钦全

陈钦全

$34 交易量

40%

icon for 许志府

许志府

$295 交易量

9%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Penghu County magistrate race remains closely contested due to uncertainty surrounding incumbent Chen Kuang-fu's health following a February 2026 injury, which has prompted the DPP to consider drafting his wife Wu Shu-chin as a replacement candidate. Multiple contenders including Chen Chen-chung, Chen Chin-chuan, Chou Ni-an, Yeh Chu-lin, and Hsu Chih-fu compete amid local factional dynamics and the November 28 election timeline, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from primary processes or endorsements. This setup keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh potential DPP continuity against opposition challenges and late developments such as candidate withdrawals or coalition shifts that could alter the field before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$329
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Penghu County magistrate race remains closely contested due to uncertainty surrounding incumbent Chen Kuang-fu's health following a February 2026 injury, which has prompted the DPP to consider drafting his wife Wu Shu-chin as a replacement candidate. Multiple contenders including Chen Chen-chung, Chen Chin-chuan, Chou Ni-an, Yeh Chu-lin, and Hsu Chih-fu compete amid local factional dynamics and the November 28 election timeline, with no dominant frontrunner emerging from primary processes or endorsements. This setup keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh potential DPP continuity against opposition challenges and late developments such as candidate withdrawals or coalition shifts that could alter the field before voting.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$329
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"陈振中",概率为 47%,其次是"邱妮安",概率为 42%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 47¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 47%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"陈振中",概率为 47%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 47%。紧随其后的结果是"邱妮安",概率为 42%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"澎湖县地方法官选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。