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icon for 奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角

奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角

icon for 奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角

奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角

Julianne Moore 49%

Inde Navarrette 21%

Renate Reinsve 14%

Sandra Hüller 12.3%

Polymarket

$110,365 交易量

Julianne Moore 49%

Inde Navarrette 21%

Renate Reinsve 14%

Sandra Hüller 12.3%

Polymarket

$110,365 交易量

icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$72,299 交易量

49%

icon for Inde Navarrette

Inde Navarrette

$21,982 交易量

21%

icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$10,758 交易量

14%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$3,313 交易量

12%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$611 交易量

3%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$113 交易量

3%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$200 交易量

3%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$45 交易量

2%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$114 交易量

2%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$147 交易量

1%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$782 交易量

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore holds the clearest edge in the early 2027 Best Actress market thanks to strong industry positioning for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut,” which has generated consistent predictor support and early campaign momentum. The race remains wide open with Inde Navarrette, Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others clustered closely behind, reflecting limited release data and the absence of major guild or critics’ circle results this far out. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, critical reception, and how studios allocate awards campaigns across lead and supporting categories. Historical precedent shows frontrunners can shift quickly once precursor voting begins, underscoring the value traders place on early buzz versus later guild validation.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$110,365
结束日期
2027-03-14
市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore holds the clearest edge in the early 2027 Best Actress market thanks to strong industry positioning for her lead role in Jesse Eisenberg’s “The Debut,” which has generated consistent predictor support and early campaign momentum. The race remains wide open with Inde Navarrette, Renate Reinsve, Sandra Hüller, and others clustered closely behind, reflecting limited release data and the absence of major guild or critics’ circle results this far out. Key swing factors include fall festival premieres, critical reception, and how studios allocate awards campaigns across lead and supporting categories. Historical precedent shows frontrunners can shift quickly once precursor voting begins, underscoring the value traders place on early buzz versus later guild validation.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$110,365
结束日期
2027-03-14
市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Julianne Moore",概率为 49%,其次是"Inde Navarrette",概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 49¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 49%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角"已产生 $110.4K 的总交易量(自Jul 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角"的当前领先者是"Julianne Moore",概率为 49%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 49%。紧随其后的结果是"Inde Navarrette",概率为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"奥斯卡2027 :最佳女主角"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。