Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in the NY-01 House race, with traders pricing Republican victory odds near 74.5% against Democrat Chris Gallant at 25.5%. LaLota, first elected in 2022, secured the nomination unopposed in the June 23, 2026 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general with a proven record of winning the Suffolk County-based district by roughly 55% in 2024. The seat’s underlying Republican tilt, reflected in consistent past performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating, supports the current pricing. Gallant, a U.S. Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, won his Democratic primary but faces the typical challenges of a challenger in a non-swing district during a midterm cycle. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$41,382 交易量
$41,382 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$41,382 交易量
$41,382 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,887 交易量
75%
民主党
$25,495 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in the NY-01 House race, with traders pricing Republican victory odds near 74.5% against Democrat Chris Gallant at 25.5%. LaLota, first elected in 2022, secured the nomination unopposed in the June 23, 2026 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general with a proven record of winning the Suffolk County-based district by roughly 55% in 2024. The seat’s underlying Republican tilt, reflected in consistent past performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating, supports the current pricing. Gallant, a U.S. Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, won his Democratic primary but faces the typical challenges of a challenger in a non-swing district during a midterm cycle. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$41,382结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in the NY-01 House race, with traders pricing Republican victory odds near 74.5% against Democrat Chris Gallant at 25.5%. LaLota, first elected in 2022, secured the nomination unopposed in the June 23, 2026 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general with a proven record of winning the Suffolk County-based district by roughly 55% in 2024. The seat’s underlying Republican tilt, reflected in consistent past performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating, supports the current pricing. Gallant, a U.S. Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, won his Democratic primary but faces the typical challenges of a challenger in a non-swing district during a midterm cycle. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$41,382结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in the NY-01 House race, with traders pricing Republican victory odds near 74.5% against Democrat Chris Gallant at 25.5%. LaLota, first elected in 2022, secured the nomination unopposed in the June 23, 2026 Republican primary and enters the November 3 general with a proven record of winning the Suffolk County-based district by roughly 55% in 2024. The seat’s underlying Republican tilt, reflected in consistent past performance and Cook Political Report’s Solid R rating, supports the current pricing. Gallant, a U.S. Army National Guard veteran and air traffic controller, won his Democratic primary but faces the typical challenges of a challenger in a non-swing district during a midterm cycle. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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