Recent North Korean launches, including single ballistic missiles in early August and a barrage of over 10 short-range systems on August 20 from the Pyongyang area, have shaped expectations for September testing amid scaled-back US-South Korea drills and unreciprocated US diplomatic signals. Kim Yo Jong’s dismissal of overtures has reinforced Pyongyang’s pattern of using missile activity to signal resolve on sanctions relief and nuclear status, yet the timing and scale of any follow-on events remain variable. This produces a tight distribution favoring one or two tests, with traders factoring in historical monthly pacing, seasonal testing windows, and the potential for pauses or escalation tied to diplomatic calendars or military posturing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1 31%
2 22%
<1 18%
3 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<1
18%
1
31%
2
22%
3
16%
4次及以上
13%
1 31%
2 22%
<1 18%
3 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<1
$321 交易量
18%
1
$91 交易量
31%
2
$112 交易量
22%
3
$91 交易量
16%
4次及以上
$422 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.Recent North Korean launches, including single ballistic missiles in early August and a barrage of over 10 short-range systems on August 20 from the Pyongyang area, have shaped expectations for September testing amid scaled-back US-South Korea drills and unreciprocated US diplomatic signals. Kim Yo Jong’s dismissal of overtures has reinforced Pyongyang’s pattern of using missile activity to signal resolve on sanctions relief and nuclear status, yet the timing and scale of any follow-on events remain variable. This produces a tight distribution favoring one or two tests, with traders factoring in historical monthly pacing, seasonal testing windows, and the potential for pauses or escalation tied to diplomatic calendars or military posturing.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
交易量
$1,037结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.Recent North Korean launches, including single ballistic missiles in early August and a barrage of over 10 short-range systems on August 20 from the Pyongyang area, have shaped expectations for September testing amid scaled-back US-South Korea drills and unreciprocated US diplomatic signals. Kim Yo Jong’s dismissal of overtures has reinforced Pyongyang’s pattern of using missile activity to signal resolve on sanctions relief and nuclear status, yet the timing and scale of any follow-on events remain variable. This produces a tight distribution favoring one or two tests, with traders factoring in historical monthly pacing, seasonal testing windows, and the potential for pauses or escalation tied to diplomatic calendars or military posturing.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during September 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$1,037结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent North Korean launches, including single ballistic missiles in early August and a barrage of over 10 short-range systems on August 20 from the Pyongyang area, have shaped expectations for September testing amid scaled-back US-South Korea drills and unreciprocated US diplomatic signals. Kim Yo Jong’s dismissal of overtures has reinforced Pyongyang’s pattern of using missile activity to signal resolve on sanctions relief and nuclear status, yet the timing and scale of any follow-on events remain variable. This produces a tight distribution favoring one or two tests, with traders factoring in historical monthly pacing, seasonal testing windows, and the potential for pauses or escalation tied to diplomatic calendars or military posturing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题