Frank Scarpitti maintains a dominant position in the 2026 Markham mayoral market, with trader consensus assigning him a 93% implied probability ahead of the October 16–26 vote. His extended incumbency since 2006, multiple re-election victories including 64% in 2022, and visibility through recent public roles such as grand marshal at the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy have reinforced support in this municipal contest. Nominations closed in late August with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross, entering the race and limiting the field. Martin Ross, known for a prior backyard rink dispute, holds the next-highest price at roughly 4%. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant local controversies, or health-related issues could still alter outcomes before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,634 交易量
$16,634 交易量
2026-10-25
Frank Scarpitti
93%
马丁·罗斯
4%
$16,634 交易量
$16,634 交易量
2026-10-25
Frank Scarpitti
$15,748 交易量
93%
马丁·罗斯
$886 交易量
4%
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti maintains a dominant position in the 2026 Markham mayoral market, with trader consensus assigning him a 93% implied probability ahead of the October 16–26 vote. His extended incumbency since 2006, multiple re-election victories including 64% in 2022, and visibility through recent public roles such as grand marshal at the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy have reinforced support in this municipal contest. Nominations closed in late August with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross, entering the race and limiting the field. Martin Ross, known for a prior backyard rink dispute, holds the next-highest price at roughly 4%. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant local controversies, or health-related issues could still alter outcomes before voting concludes.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$16,634结束日期
2026-10-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ETThe 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.Frank Scarpitti maintains a dominant position in the 2026 Markham mayoral market, with trader consensus assigning him a 93% implied probability ahead of the October 16–26 vote. His extended incumbency since 2006, multiple re-election victories including 64% in 2022, and visibility through recent public roles such as grand marshal at the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy have reinforced support in this municipal contest. Nominations closed in late August with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross, entering the race and limiting the field. Martin Ross, known for a prior backyard rink dispute, holds the next-highest price at roughly 4%. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant local controversies, or health-related issues could still alter outcomes before voting concludes.
The 2026 Markham, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Markham, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Markham, Ontario.
交易量
$16,634结束日期
2026-10-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 2:23 PM ETFrank Scarpitti maintains a dominant position in the 2026 Markham mayoral market, with trader consensus assigning him a 93% implied probability ahead of the October 16–26 vote. His extended incumbency since 2006, multiple re-election victories including 64% in 2022, and visibility through recent public roles such as grand marshal at the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy have reinforced support in this municipal contest. Nominations closed in late August with only two challengers, Stephen Edgell and Martin Ross, entering the race and limiting the field. Martin Ross, known for a prior backyard rink dispute, holds the next-highest price at roughly 4%. Late-breaking developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, significant local controversies, or health-related issues could still alter outcomes before voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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