Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C in Wuhan on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity levels typical of the Yangtze River valley in mid-September limit overnight radiative cooling, while minor differences in cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs account for the tight clustering between the 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast spread and the imminent resolution via official observations, with limited upside for extremes absent an unexpected frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日武汉最低气温？
9月14日武汉最低气温？
18°C或以下 84%
28°C或更高 84%
21°C 40%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
18°C或以下
84%
19°C
9%
20°C
18%
21°C
40%
22°C
22%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
9%
28°C或更高
84%
18°C或以下 84%
28°C或更高 84%
21°C 40%
25°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
84%
19°C
$0 交易量
9%
20°C
$0 交易量
18%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
22%
23°C
$0 交易量
27%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
40%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C in Wuhan on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity levels typical of the Yangtze River valley in mid-September limit overnight radiative cooling, while minor differences in cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs account for the tight clustering between the 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast spread and the imminent resolution via official observations, with limited upside for extremes absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C in Wuhan on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity levels typical of the Yangtze River valley in mid-September limit overnight radiative cooling, while minor differences in cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs account for the tight clustering between the 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast spread and the imminent resolution via official observations, with limited upside for extremes absent an unexpected frontal passage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C in Wuhan on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, creating closely matched implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range. Persistent high pressure and moderate humidity levels typical of the Yangtze River valley in mid-September limit overnight radiative cooling, while minor differences in cloud cover or wind speed among ensemble runs account for the tight clustering between the 23°C and 24°C outcomes. Trader consensus reflects this narrow forecast spread and the imminent resolution via official observations, with limited upside for extremes absent an unexpected frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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