Recent forecast models for Wuhan on September 14 show highs clustered around 31–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. This narrow range, reflected in closely matched market probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, stems from modest differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control peak solar heating. Current conditions on September 13, with highs near 32–33°C, provide a baseline, but subtle shifts in humidity or wind could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. Official station observations will resolve the market once released, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日武汉气温最高?
31°C 40%
32°C 35%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
40%
32°C
35%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 35%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
40%
32°C
35%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models for Wuhan on September 14 show highs clustered around 31–32°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and low precipitation risk. This narrow range, reflected in closely matched market probabilities for 31°C and 32°C, stems from modest differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that control peak solar heating. Current conditions on September 13, with highs near 32–33°C, provide a baseline, but subtle shifts in humidity or wind could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. Official station observations will resolve the market once released, underscoring the inherent uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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