Recent MetService and international model runs for Wellington point to a mild spring pattern with southerly flows easing into variable lighter winds by September 12, supporting overnight lows near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s maritime setting and exposure to Cook Strait channeling keep temperatures responsive to wind shifts and cloud cover, with southerlies capable of pulling cooler Southern Ocean air while clearer conditions allow greater radiational cooling. The near-even market split between sub-4 °C and 14 °C+ outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread across ensembles, typical for a two-day horizon where small changes in steering flow or timing of high pressure can shift minima by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9月12日惠灵顿的最低温度？
4°C或以下 93%
14°C或更高 83%
5°C 38%
6°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
93%
5°C
38%
6°C
38%
7°C
38%
8°C
30%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
38%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C或更高
83%
4°C或以下 93%
14°C或更高 83%
5°C 38%
6°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
93%
5°C
$0 交易量
38%
6°C
$0 交易量
38%
7°C
$0 交易量
38%
8°C
$0 交易量
30%
9°C
$0 交易量
22%
10°C
$41 交易量
21%
11°C
$0 交易量
38%
12°C
$0 交易量
38%
13°C
$0 交易量
38%
14°C或更高
$0 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model runs for Wellington point to a mild spring pattern with southerly flows easing into variable lighter winds by September 12, supporting overnight lows near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s maritime setting and exposure to Cook Strait channeling keep temperatures responsive to wind shifts and cloud cover, with southerlies capable of pulling cooler Southern Ocean air while clearer conditions allow greater radiational cooling. The near-even market split between sub-4 °C and 14 °C+ outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread across ensembles, typical for a two-day horizon where small changes in steering flow or timing of high pressure can shift minima by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model runs for Wellington point to a mild spring pattern with southerly flows easing into variable lighter winds by September 12, supporting overnight lows near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s maritime setting and exposure to Cook Strait channeling keep temperatures responsive to wind shifts and cloud cover, with southerlies capable of pulling cooler Southern Ocean air while clearer conditions allow greater radiational cooling. The near-even market split between sub-4 °C and 14 °C+ outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread across ensembles, typical for a two-day horizon where small changes in steering flow or timing of high pressure can shift minima by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent MetService and international model runs for Wellington point to a mild spring pattern with southerly flows easing into variable lighter winds by September 12, supporting overnight lows near 7–8 °C under partly cloudy skies. Wellington’s maritime setting and exposure to Cook Strait channeling keep temperatures responsive to wind shifts and cloud cover, with southerlies capable of pulling cooler Southern Ocean air while clearer conditions allow greater radiational cooling. The near-even market split between sub-4 °C and 14 °C+ outcomes reflects genuine forecast spread across ensembles, typical for a two-day horizon where small changes in steering flow or timing of high pressure can shift minima by several degrees. Updated model guidance and official briefings through the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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