**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the day's maximum temperature in the Seoul/Incheon area, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).** On September 10, 2026, Incheon and nearby stations recorded afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and no significant warming or cooling anomalies. Forecasts from multiple agencies aligned on a daily high around 71–73°F (roughly 22–23°C), consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region after a period of slightly cooler conditions earlier in the week. This near-certain market-implied probability stems from the proximity to resolution on the same calendar day, where actual station readings have already capped the maximum. Minor model spreads or station-to-station variations (e.g., urban heat island effects in Seoul versus coastal Incheon) exist but fall within the 22°C bin for resolution purposes. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome involve late-day data revisions from the primary reporting station or an unforeseen micro-scale temperature spike, both of which are improbable given the stable atmospheric conditions and multiple confirming observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月10日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
22°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$115,152 交易量
$115,152 交易量
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
22°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$115,152 交易量
$115,152 交易量
2026-09-10
19°C或以下
$5,626 交易量
<1%
20°C
$12,104 交易量
<1%
21°C
$19,084 交易量
<1%
22°C
$25,618 交易量
100%
23°C
$17,155 交易量
<1%
24°C
$10,373 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,903 交易量
<1%
26°C
$4,787 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,371 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,559 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$5,572 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the day's maximum temperature in the Seoul/Incheon area, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).** On September 10, 2026, Incheon and nearby stations recorded afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and no significant warming or cooling anomalies. Forecasts from multiple agencies aligned on a daily high around 71–73°F (roughly 22–23°C), consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region after a period of slightly cooler conditions earlier in the week.
This near-certain market-implied probability stems from the proximity to resolution on the same calendar day, where actual station readings have already capped the maximum. Minor model spreads or station-to-station variations (e.g., urban heat island effects in Seoul versus coastal Incheon) exist but fall within the 22°C bin for resolution purposes. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome involve late-day data revisions from the primary reporting station or an unforeseen micro-scale temperature spike, both of which are improbable given the stable atmospheric conditions and multiple confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$115,152结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the day's maximum temperature in the Seoul/Incheon area, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).** On September 10, 2026, Incheon and nearby stations recorded afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and no significant warming or cooling anomalies. Forecasts from multiple agencies aligned on a daily high around 71–73°F (roughly 22–23°C), consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region after a period of slightly cooler conditions earlier in the week.
This near-certain market-implied probability stems from the proximity to resolution on the same calendar day, where actual station readings have already capped the maximum. Minor model spreads or station-to-station variations (e.g., urban heat island effects in Seoul versus coastal Incheon) exist but fall within the 22°C bin for resolution purposes. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome involve late-day data revisions from the primary reporting station or an unforeseen micro-scale temperature spike, both of which are improbable given the stable atmospheric conditions and multiple confirming observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$115,152结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus has converged on 22°C as the day's maximum temperature in the Seoul/Incheon area, reflecting real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources such as the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA).** On September 10, 2026, Incheon and nearby stations recorded afternoon peaks near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, with light northeasterly winds and no significant warming or cooling anomalies. Forecasts from multiple agencies aligned on a daily high around 71–73°F (roughly 22–23°C), consistent with typical early-autumn climatology for the region after a period of slightly cooler conditions earlier in the week. This near-certain market-implied probability stems from the proximity to resolution on the same calendar day, where actual station readings have already capped the maximum. Minor model spreads or station-to-station variations (e.g., urban heat island effects in Seoul versus coastal Incheon) exist but fall within the 22°C bin for resolution purposes. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome involve late-day data revisions from the primary reporting station or an unforeseen micro-scale temperature spike, both of which are improbable given the stable atmospheric conditions and multiple confirming observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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