Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月11日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16℃ 11%
13°C 2%
最新
$18,515 交易量
最新
$18,515 交易量
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
27%
15°C
63%
16℃
11%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 63%
14°C 27%
16℃ 11%
13°C 2%
最新
$18,515 交易量
最新
$18,515 交易量
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
$944 交易量
<1%
10°C
$176 交易量
<1%
11°C
$284 交易量
<1%
12°C
$1,487 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,621 交易量
2%
14°C
$2,845 交易量
27%
15°C
$5,533 交易量
63%
16℃
$2,760 交易量
11%
17°C
$742 交易量
<1%
18°C
$652 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$471 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$18,515结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,515结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest forecast models from MetService and international ensembles indicate a daytime high of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 11 under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwest winds, positioning these outcomes as the clear market leaders at 67.5% and 28% implied probability. Overnight clearing after Wednesday’s rain and a shift from southerly to northwesterly flow are driving the warming trend, with model consensus showing limited spread around these values and low chance of exceeding 16°C or falling below 13°C. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, though day-to-day variability remains influenced by cloud cover and wind shifts. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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