Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in São Paulo on September 12 most likely between 23–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and showers associated with a passing cold front and extratropical cyclone are expected to reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, while southerly flow advects cooler maritime air. This follows an atypically cool early September pattern, with September 7 recording the lowest maximum since 2000 at 13.6°C. Historical September averages near 25.5°C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming absent clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings from Brazilian meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine these projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月12日圣保罗的最高温度？
23°C 38%
24°C 11%
25°C 10%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
6%
20°C
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
38%
24°C
11%
25°C
10%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
6%
29°C或更高
6%
23°C 38%
24°C 11%
25°C 10%
26°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
20°C
$0 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
7%
22°C
$0 交易量
7%
23°C
$0 交易量
38%
24°C
$36 交易量
11%
25°C
$0 交易量
10%
26°C
$0 交易量
9%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C
$0 交易量
6%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in São Paulo on September 12 most likely between 23–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and showers associated with a passing cold front and extratropical cyclone are expected to reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, while southerly flow advects cooler maritime air. This follows an atypically cool early September pattern, with September 7 recording the lowest maximum since 2000 at 13.6°C. Historical September averages near 25.5°C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming absent clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings from Brazilian meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine these projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in São Paulo on September 12 most likely between 23–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and showers associated with a passing cold front and extratropical cyclone are expected to reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, while southerly flow advects cooler maritime air. This follows an atypically cool early September pattern, with September 7 recording the lowest maximum since 2000 at 13.6°C. Historical September averages near 25.5°C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming absent clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings from Brazilian meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine these projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in São Paulo on September 12 most likely between 23–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and showers associated with a passing cold front and extratropical cyclone are expected to reduce incoming solar radiation and limit daytime heating, while southerly flow advects cooler maritime air. This follows an atypically cool early September pattern, with September 7 recording the lowest maximum since 2000 at 13.6°C. Historical September averages near 25.5°C provide context, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger warming absent clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings from Brazilian meteorological services over the next 48 hours will refine these projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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