Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日巴黎气温最高？
9月10日巴黎气温最高？
21°C 66%
22°C 44%
23°C 5%
24°C <1%
$46,246 交易量
$46,246 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
55%
22°C
41%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 66%
22°C 44%
23°C 5%
24°C <1%
$46,246 交易量
$46,246 交易量
2026-09-10
17°C或以下
$1,936 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,158 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,089 交易量
<1%
20°C
$6,361 交易量
<1%
21°C
$10,435 交易量
55%
22°C
$5,735 交易量
41%
23°C
$9,537 交易量
5%
24°C
$3,204 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,972 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,497 交易量
<1%
27°C或更高
$1,321 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$46,246结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,246结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France and global models indicate Paris will reach a daytime high near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light west-northwest winds and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns closely with the long-term average high of 22.3°C for the date, supporting the 75.5% market-implied probability for 22°C. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 12–14°C toward 20–21°C by mid-afternoon, with no significant advection of cooler or warmer air masses. Model consensus remains tight around this seasonal norm, with limited upside potential for 23°C or higher given stable high pressure and light winds, while downside risks to 21°C or below appear constrained by ongoing solar heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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