Recent model consensus from MetService and international forecasts points to overnight lows near 6–9 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a weakening northwesterly flow that limits cold-air advection while allowing partial clearing for modest radiative cooling under the Southern Ocean maritime regime. Historical September minima average around 7 °C, but trader probabilities cluster tightly at 5–8 °C because small shifts in wind speed, dew-point depression, or residual cloud cover can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. The elevated share for 12 °C or higher reflects uncertainty over whether daytime warmth lingers into the early-morning minimum or if a brief southerly change arrives. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日惠灵顿最低气温？
9月1日惠灵顿最低气温？
12°C or higher 69%
6°C 27%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
2°C or below
2%
3°C
11%
4°C
10%
5°C
26%
6°C
27%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
24%
10°C
5%
11°C
8%
12°C or higher
69%
12°C or higher 69%
6°C 27%
7°C 27%
8°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
2°C or below
$150 交易量
2%
3°C
$145 交易量
11%
4°C
$0 交易量
10%
5°C
$0 交易量
26%
6°C
$0 交易量
27%
7°C
$0 交易量
27%
8°C
$0 交易量
27%
9°C
$0 交易量
24%
10°C
$0 交易量
5%
11°C
$10 交易量
8%
12°C or higher
$10 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international forecasts points to overnight lows near 6–9 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a weakening northwesterly flow that limits cold-air advection while allowing partial clearing for modest radiative cooling under the Southern Ocean maritime regime. Historical September minima average around 7 °C, but trader probabilities cluster tightly at 5–8 °C because small shifts in wind speed, dew-point depression, or residual cloud cover can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. The elevated share for 12 °C or higher reflects uncertainty over whether daytime warmth lingers into the early-morning minimum or if a brief southerly change arrives. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$315结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international forecasts points to overnight lows near 6–9 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a weakening northwesterly flow that limits cold-air advection while allowing partial clearing for modest radiative cooling under the Southern Ocean maritime regime. Historical September minima average around 7 °C, but trader probabilities cluster tightly at 5–8 °C because small shifts in wind speed, dew-point depression, or residual cloud cover can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. The elevated share for 12 °C or higher reflects uncertainty over whether daytime warmth lingers into the early-morning minimum or if a brief southerly change arrives. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$315结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent model consensus from MetService and international forecasts points to overnight lows near 6–9 °C for Wellington on 1 September, driven by a weakening northwesterly flow that limits cold-air advection while allowing partial clearing for modest radiative cooling under the Southern Ocean maritime regime. Historical September minima average around 7 °C, but trader probabilities cluster tightly at 5–8 °C because small shifts in wind speed, dew-point depression, or residual cloud cover can alter minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. The elevated share for 12 °C or higher reflects uncertainty over whether daytime warmth lingers into the early-morning minimum or if a brief southerly change arrives. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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