**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日华沙最低气温？
9月17日华沙最低气温？
9°C 99%
8°C 97%
7°C或以下 91%
12°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
91%
8°C
97%
9°C
99%
10°C
46%
11°C
49%
12°C
50%
13°C
50%
14°C
49%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
9°C 99%
8°C 97%
7°C或以下 91%
12°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
91%
8°C
$0 交易量
97%
9°C
$0 交易量
99%
10°C
$10 交易量
46%
11°C
$0 交易量
49%
12°C
$0 交易量
50%
13°C
$0 交易量
50%
14°C
$0 交易量
49%
15°C
$47 交易量
<1%
16°C
$46 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$125结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$125结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models point to an overnight low near 13–15°C in Warsaw on September 17 under persistent cloud cover and light rain, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from falling sharply.** Westerly flow advects relatively mild maritime air, while high humidity and 100% cloud cover reduce the diurnal temperature range. Official guidance from Polish and European models shows the minimum likely occurring late evening or pre-dawn, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any clearing or heavier showers. Historical September minima average around 10°C, but current synoptic conditions favor values several degrees higher. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 11–14°C reflect this narrow but uncertain window, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes because models show limited scope for either strong cooling or anomalous warmth. Updated runs and local observations will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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