Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日多伦多最低气温?
14°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,779 交易量
$2,779 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$2,779 交易量
$2,779 交易量
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Toronto-area weather stations confirm the overnight minimum reached exactly 14°C on August 29, matching real-time surface data and numerical weather model guidance from agencies such as Environment Canada. This outcome reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with climatological averages near 16°C and recent model runs showing no significant cold-air advection. With the date concluded and measurements finalized, the 100% market-implied probability rests on verified instrumental records rather than forecasts. Only an improbable post-processing revision at the primary station or a shift to an alternate measurement site could alter the recorded low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题