Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show persistent thunderstorm activity and high humidity over Shenzhen on September 21, with expected overnight lows near 25–26°C. Cloud cover from convective systems limits radiative cooling, while southeasterly flow maintains elevated dew points and prevents sharper drops. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity creates the tight split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes, as clearer intervals or heavier downpours could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 24–25°C lows, providing context for the current trader-implied odds reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty two days out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日深圳最低气温？
9月21日深圳最低气温？
22°C或以下 100%
32°C或更高 96%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
100%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
8%
30°C
40%
31°C
40%
32°C或更高
96%
22°C或以下 100%
32°C或更高 96%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
40%
28°C
$0 交易量
40%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
40%
31°C
$0 交易量
40%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show persistent thunderstorm activity and high humidity over Shenzhen on September 21, with expected overnight lows near 25–26°C. Cloud cover from convective systems limits radiative cooling, while southeasterly flow maintains elevated dew points and prevents sharper drops. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity creates the tight split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes, as clearer intervals or heavier downpours could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 24–25°C lows, providing context for the current trader-implied odds reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show persistent thunderstorm activity and high humidity over Shenzhen on September 21, with expected overnight lows near 25–26°C. Cloud cover from convective systems limits radiative cooling, while southeasterly flow maintains elevated dew points and prevents sharper drops. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity creates the tight split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes, as clearer intervals or heavier downpours could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 24–25°C lows, providing context for the current trader-implied odds reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show persistent thunderstorm activity and high humidity over Shenzhen on September 21, with expected overnight lows near 25–26°C. Cloud cover from convective systems limits radiative cooling, while southeasterly flow maintains elevated dew points and prevents sharper drops. Model consensus on rain timing and intensity creates the tight split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes, as clearer intervals or heavier downpours could shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September baselines in the region average 24–25°C lows, providing context for the current trader-implied odds reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty two days out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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