**Trader sentiment centers on KMA and global model consensus forecasting an overnight minimum near 20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 7.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure system, combined with moderate northeast winds, support radiative cooling to this level without significant frontal influence or precipitation in the capital region. This places the implied probability heavily on 20°C (53.5%), with 19°C (29.0%) as the next likely outcome reflecting slight variations in exact timing or station microclimates. Historical early-September baselines and current synoptic patterns reinforce this range, while updated KMA guidance and overnight observations on September 7 will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
20°C 53%
19°C 32%
18°C 9%
21°C 4%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
32%
20°C
53%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 53%
19°C 32%
18°C 9%
21°C 4%
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
32%
20°C
53%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment centers on KMA and global model consensus forecasting an overnight minimum near 20°C for Incheon/Seoul on September 7.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure system, combined with moderate northeast winds, support radiative cooling to this level without significant frontal influence or precipitation in the capital region. This places the implied probability heavily on 20°C (53.5%), with 19°C (29.0%) as the next likely outcome reflecting slight variations in exact timing or station microclimates. Historical early-September baselines and current synoptic patterns reinforce this range, while updated KMA guidance and overnight observations on September 7 will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题