Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum of 17°C for Incheon on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure around 1020 hPa. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17–19°C outcomes, as radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud cover and the moderating influence of the nearby Yellow Sea. Ensemble model runs show minor disagreements on exact dew point and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C, while historical September minima average near 18°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represents the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月12日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
18°C 32%
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
17°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
13°C或以下
6%
14°C
9%
15°C
6%
16°C
12%
17°C
18%
18°C
32%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C或更高
5%
18°C 32%
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
17°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
14°C
$0 交易量
9%
15°C
$0 交易量
6%
16°C
$0 交易量
12%
17°C
$380 交易量
18%
18°C
$996 交易量
32%
19°C
$791 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
28%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum of 17°C for Incheon on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure around 1020 hPa. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17–19°C outcomes, as radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud cover and the moderating influence of the nearby Yellow Sea. Ensemble model runs show minor disagreements on exact dew point and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C, while historical September minima average near 18°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represents the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,168结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum of 17°C for Incheon on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure around 1020 hPa. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17–19°C outcomes, as radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud cover and the moderating influence of the nearby Yellow Sea. Ensemble model runs show minor disagreements on exact dew point and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C, while historical September minima average near 18°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represents the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,168结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum of 17°C for Incheon on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and stable high pressure around 1020 hPa. This supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17–19°C outcomes, as radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by cloud cover and the moderating influence of the nearby Yellow Sea. Ensemble model runs show minor disagreements on exact dew point and wind speed that could shift the low by 1–2°C, while historical September minima average near 18°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours represents the key near-term catalyst for any shift in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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