Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月11日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
17°C 37%
16°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
12°C或以下
8%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
12%
16°C
32%
17°C
37%
18°C
12%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
12%
22°C或更高
<1%
17°C 37%
16°C 32%
15°C 15%
18°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
12°C或以下
$115 交易量
8%
13°C
$152 交易量
2%
14°C
$91 交易量
3%
15°C
$321 交易量
12%
16°C
$263 交易量
32%
17°C
$1,725 交易量
37%
18°C
$1,404 交易量
12%
19°C
$334 交易量
2%
20°C
$36 交易量
1%
21°C
$30 交易量
12%
22°C或更高
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,682结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,682结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate the minimum temperature at Incheon International Airport on September 11 will occur overnight or early morning under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This setup favors radiative cooling, with surface temperatures expected to fall to 16–17°C as dew points hover near 13–15°C and high pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air. Official KMA guidance lists a minimum near 16°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 16°C and 17°C. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover accounts for the tight distribution between these outcomes, while lower probabilities for 15°C reflect the limited potential for stronger cooling absent a cold front or clearer radiative window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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