Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 8 under clear skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 levels, aligning with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions. This places the expected low squarely between the market’s leading outcomes of 15°C or below (50% implied) and 25°C or higher (49% implied), with finer bins clustered around 18–22°C reflecting trader awareness of typical early-September variability. Coastal marine influence and the diurnal temperature range of roughly 8–10°C historically limit extremes, though short-term model spread in wind patterns or localized cooling could still tip the minimum a few degrees either way before resolution. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日青岛最低气温?
15°C或以下 94%
25°C或以上 94%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C或以下
94%
16°C
49%
17°C
25%
18°C
26%
19°C
32%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
49%
23°C
1%
24°C
49%
25°C或以上
94%
15°C或以下 94%
25°C或以上 94%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
15°C或以下
94%
16°C
49%
17°C
25%
18°C
26%
19°C
32%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
49%
23°C
1%
24°C
49%
25°C或以上
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration project a daily minimum near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 8 under clear skies and moderate northerly winds of 4–5 levels, aligning with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions. This places the expected low squarely between the market’s leading outcomes of 15°C or below (50% implied) and 25°C or higher (49% implied), with finer bins clustered around 18–22°C reflecting trader awareness of typical early-September variability. Coastal marine influence and the diurnal temperature range of roughly 8–10°C historically limit extremes, though short-term model spread in wind patterns or localized cooling could still tip the minimum a few degrees either way before resolution. No major synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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