Recent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Paris will experience a stable high-pressure regime on September 6, 2026, with light easterly to southeasterly winds and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, supporting minimum temperatures near 16–20 °C. This setup aligns with the market-implied emphasis on 12–13 °C outcomes, as traders weigh potential model underestimation of localized cooling near official stations and historical September variability around the 12.6 °C climatological baseline. Warmer-than-average daytime highs near 28–30 °C further limit the diurnal range, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps probabilities for 10 °C or below negligible. Final resolution will hinge on the verified overnight minimum reported by Météo-France.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日巴黎最低气温？
9月6日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 96%
11°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
96%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
12°C 96%
11°C <1%
10°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
10°C或以下
$113 交易量
1%
11°C
$117 交易量
1%
12°C
$1,098 交易量
96%
13°C
$1,441 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,036 交易量
<1%
15°C
$172 交易量
<1%
16°C
$28 交易量
<1%
17°C
$63 交易量
<1%
18°C
$53 交易量
<1%
19°C
$53 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$104 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Paris will experience a stable high-pressure regime on September 6, 2026, with light easterly to southeasterly winds and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, supporting minimum temperatures near 16–20 °C. This setup aligns with the market-implied emphasis on 12–13 °C outcomes, as traders weigh potential model underestimation of localized cooling near official stations and historical September variability around the 12.6 °C climatological baseline. Warmer-than-average daytime highs near 28–30 °C further limit the diurnal range, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps probabilities for 10 °C or below negligible. Final resolution will hinge on the verified overnight minimum reported by Météo-France.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,281结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Paris will experience a stable high-pressure regime on September 6, 2026, with light easterly to southeasterly winds and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, supporting minimum temperatures near 16–20 °C. This setup aligns with the market-implied emphasis on 12–13 °C outcomes, as traders weigh potential model underestimation of localized cooling near official stations and historical September variability around the 12.6 °C climatological baseline. Warmer-than-average daytime highs near 28–30 °C further limit the diurnal range, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps probabilities for 10 °C or below negligible. Final resolution will hinge on the verified overnight minimum reported by Météo-France.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,281结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from GFS and European models indicate Paris will experience a stable high-pressure regime on September 6, 2026, with light easterly to southeasterly winds and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, supporting minimum temperatures near 16–20 °C. This setup aligns with the market-implied emphasis on 12–13 °C outcomes, as traders weigh potential model underestimation of localized cooling near official stations and historical September variability around the 12.6 °C climatological baseline. Warmer-than-average daytime highs near 28–30 °C further limit the diurnal range, while the absence of a strong cold front keeps probabilities for 10 °C or below negligible. Final resolution will hinge on the verified overnight minimum reported by Météo-France.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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