Recent ensemble forecasts from major centers highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for September 21, supporting the tight market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge favor enhanced surface heat loss, yet variable Atlantic moisture and potential thin cloud layers could limit minimum temperatures. Current model consensus points to a modest cool anomaly relative to the typical early-autumn baseline near 12°C, with boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts as key variables. Traders await the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Météo-France guidance for sharper resolution on these factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日巴黎最低气温？
9月21日巴黎最低气温？
9°C或以下 70%
12°C 36%
13°C 30%
14°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
70%
10°C
29%
11°C
27%
12°C
36%
13°C
30%
14°C
30%
15°C
30%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C或更高
2%
9°C或以下 70%
12°C 36%
13°C 30%
14°C 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
70%
10°C
$105 交易量
29%
11°C
$105 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
36%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$0 交易量
30%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major centers highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for September 21, supporting the tight market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge favor enhanced surface heat loss, yet variable Atlantic moisture and potential thin cloud layers could limit minimum temperatures. Current model consensus points to a modest cool anomaly relative to the typical early-autumn baseline near 12°C, with boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts as key variables. Traders await the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Météo-France guidance for sharper resolution on these factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$210结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major centers highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for September 21, supporting the tight market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge favor enhanced surface heat loss, yet variable Atlantic moisture and potential thin cloud layers could limit minimum temperatures. Current model consensus points to a modest cool anomaly relative to the typical early-autumn baseline near 12°C, with boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts as key variables. Traders await the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Météo-France guidance for sharper resolution on these factors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$210结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major centers highlight uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling over Paris for September 21, supporting the tight market-implied odds clustered around 9–11°C. Clear skies and light winds under a high-pressure ridge favor enhanced surface heat loss, yet variable Atlantic moisture and potential thin cloud layers could limit minimum temperatures. Current model consensus points to a modest cool anomaly relative to the typical early-autumn baseline near 12°C, with boundary-layer stability and dewpoint forecasts as key variables. Traders await the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus official Météo-France guidance for sharper resolution on these factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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