Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with late-rainy-season patterns of afternoon convection followed by partial overnight clearing. High-elevation radiative cooling, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90%, and light northerly winds, will determine the exact low; denser cloud decks or lingering showers could hold temperatures above 14°C, while clearer skies might allow drops toward 12°C or lower. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet microclimate variations across the urban basin introduce genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for the coldest and warmest bins. Final resolution hinges on official overnight readings from central stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城9月20日的最低温度？
墨西哥城9月20日的最低温度？
17°C或更高 86%
7°C或以下 83%
14°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
7°C或以下
83%
8°C
15%
9°C
15%
10°C
15%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
28%
16°C
12%
17°C或更高
86%
17°C或更高 86%
7°C或以下 83%
14°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
83%
8°C
$0 交易量
15%
9°C
$0 交易量
15%
10°C
$0 交易量
15%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$15 交易量
12%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with late-rainy-season patterns of afternoon convection followed by partial overnight clearing. High-elevation radiative cooling, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90%, and light northerly winds, will determine the exact low; denser cloud decks or lingering showers could hold temperatures above 14°C, while clearer skies might allow drops toward 12°C or lower. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet microclimate variations across the urban basin introduce genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for the coldest and warmest bins. Final resolution hinges on official overnight readings from central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$15结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with late-rainy-season patterns of afternoon convection followed by partial overnight clearing. High-elevation radiative cooling, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90%, and light northerly winds, will determine the exact low; denser cloud decks or lingering showers could hold temperatures above 14°C, while clearer skies might allow drops toward 12°C or lower. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet microclimate variations across the urban basin introduce genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for the coldest and warmest bins. Final resolution hinges on official overnight readings from central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a minimum of 13–15°C for Mexico City on September 20, consistent with late-rainy-season patterns of afternoon convection followed by partial overnight clearing. High-elevation radiative cooling, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80–90%, and light northerly winds, will determine the exact low; denser cloud decks or lingering showers could hold temperatures above 14°C, while clearer skies might allow drops toward 12°C or lower. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet microclimate variations across the urban basin introduce genuine uncertainty reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds for the coldest and warmest bins. Final resolution hinges on official overnight readings from central stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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