Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日广州最低气温？
9月21日广州最低气温？
20°C或以下 97%
30°C或更高 97%
28°C 40%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
97%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C或更高
97%
20°C或以下 97%
30°C或更高 97%
28°C 40%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
97%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
21%
26°C
$0 交易量
21%
27°C
$0 交易量
21%
28°C
$0 交易量
40%
29°C
$0 交易量
39%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETForecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles indicate Guangzhou's minimum temperature on September 21 will likely fall in the mid-20s °C, driven by persistent subtropical moisture, cloud cover, and light southerly flow that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent trends show daytime highs near 34–35 °C with 60–80 % rain probabilities, which sustain elevated humidity and keep overnight lows from dropping sharply. The near-even market split between 30 °C+ and 20 °C-or-below outcomes reflects trader recognition of forecast uncertainty ranges in ensemble runs, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing could alter the exact minimum by a few degrees. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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