Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 20–21°C for Chongqing on September 14, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Recent model runs show limited cooling from increased cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping minimums above the 16–19°C thresholds that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local microclimate effects near official stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 17°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble guidance. Updated forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日重庆气温最低？
9月14日重庆气温最低？
16°C或以下 92%
17°C 90%
18℃ 90%
19°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
92%
17°C
90%
18℃
90%
19°C
90%
20°C
46%
21°C
49%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
16°C或以下 92%
17°C 90%
18℃ 90%
19°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
92%
17°C
$0 交易量
90%
18℃
$0 交易量
90%
19°C
$118 交易量
90%
20°C
$0 交易量
46%
21°C
$107 交易量
49%
22°C
$16 交易量
<1%
23℃
$0 交易量
<1%
24°C
$0 交易量
<1%
25℃
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 20–21°C for Chongqing on September 14, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Recent model runs show limited cooling from increased cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping minimums above the 16–19°C thresholds that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local microclimate effects near official stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 17°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble guidance. Updated forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$241结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 20–21°C for Chongqing on September 14, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Recent model runs show limited cooling from increased cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping minimums above the 16–19°C thresholds that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local microclimate effects near official stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 17°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble guidance. Updated forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$241结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from agencies and meteorological services converge on an overnight low near 20–21°C for Chongqing on September 14, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. Recent model runs show limited cooling from increased cloud cover and scattered showers, keeping minimums above the 16–19°C thresholds that would require stronger advection or clearer radiative cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–21°C captures residual uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum and local microclimate effects near official stations, while lower-probability outcomes below 17°C remain inconsistent with observed trends and ensemble guidance. Updated forecasts and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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