Recent official and model forecasts for Beijing on September 13, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a minimum temperature near 15–16°C, with highs around 28–30°C. This consensus from multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks showing overnight lows of 13–17°C, supports the market's elevated probability on 15°C while sustaining meaningful odds on cooler outcomes. Diurnal cooling under dry conditions and northerly flow drives the expected minimum, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local observations could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any late-day adjustments remain key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日北京最低气温？
9月13日北京最低气温？
11°C或以下 93%
13°C 93%
14°C 92%
12°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
93%
12°C
18%
13°C
93%
14°C
92%
15°C
-
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
11°C或以下 93%
13°C 93%
14°C 92%
12°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
$43 交易量
93%
12°C
$0 交易量
18%
13°C
$0 交易量
93%
14°C
$52 交易量
92%
15°C
$269 交易量
-
16°C
$371 交易量
<1%
17°C
$295 交易量
<1%
18°C
$54 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts for Beijing on September 13, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a minimum temperature near 15–16°C, with highs around 28–30°C. This consensus from multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks showing overnight lows of 13–17°C, supports the market's elevated probability on 15°C while sustaining meaningful odds on cooler outcomes. Diurnal cooling under dry conditions and northerly flow drives the expected minimum, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local observations could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any late-day adjustments remain key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,129结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model forecasts for Beijing on September 13, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a minimum temperature near 15–16°C, with highs around 28–30°C. This consensus from multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks showing overnight lows of 13–17°C, supports the market's elevated probability on 15°C while sustaining meaningful odds on cooler outcomes. Diurnal cooling under dry conditions and northerly flow drives the expected minimum, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local observations could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any late-day adjustments remain key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,129结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent official and model forecasts for Beijing on September 13, 2026, indicate clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a minimum temperature near 15–16°C, with highs around 28–30°C. This consensus from multiple sources, including GFS-derived outlooks showing overnight lows of 13–17°C, supports the market's elevated probability on 15°C while sustaining meaningful odds on cooler outcomes. Diurnal cooling under dry conditions and northerly flow drives the expected minimum, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or local observations could shift the precise low by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and any late-day adjustments remain key near-term catalysts for trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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