US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced since April 2026 through multiple rounds in Washington and Rome, culminating in a June 26 trilateral framework agreement that outlines phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces control and verified Hezbollah disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the accord, denounced the process, and continued ceasefire violations including attacks on Israeli forces, while Israeli officials maintain a security zone until disarmament occurs. No direct diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah representatives has taken place, with all negotiations limited to Lebanese government delegates and focused on restoring state sovereignty and border security. Upcoming technical working groups on military coordination, borders, and implementation could influence whether conditions for broader talks emerge before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$98,011 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
$98,011 交易量
9月30日
$173 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced since April 2026 through multiple rounds in Washington and Rome, culminating in a June 26 trilateral framework agreement that outlines phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces control and verified Hezbollah disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the accord, denounced the process, and continued ceasefire violations including attacks on Israeli forces, while Israeli officials maintain a security zone until disarmament occurs. No direct diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah representatives has taken place, with all negotiations limited to Lebanese government delegates and focused on restoring state sovereignty and border security. Upcoming technical working groups on military coordination, borders, and implementation could influence whether conditions for broader talks emerge before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$98,011结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 10:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced since April 2026 through multiple rounds in Washington and Rome, culminating in a June 26 trilateral framework agreement that outlines phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces control and verified Hezbollah disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the accord, denounced the process, and continued ceasefire violations including attacks on Israeli forces, while Israeli officials maintain a security zone until disarmament occurs. No direct diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah representatives has taken place, with all negotiations limited to Lebanese government delegates and focused on restoring state sovereignty and border security. Upcoming technical working groups on military coordination, borders, and implementation could influence whether conditions for broader talks emerge before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$98,011结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 10:26 AM ETUS-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon have advanced since April 2026 through multiple rounds in Washington and Rome, culminating in a June 26 trilateral framework agreement that outlines phased Israeli withdrawals from pilot zones in southern Lebanon contingent on Lebanese Armed Forces control and verified Hezbollah disarmament. Hezbollah has rejected the accord, denounced the process, and continued ceasefire violations including attacks on Israeli forces, while Israeli officials maintain a security zone until disarmament occurs. No direct diplomatic engagement involving Hezbollah representatives has taken place, with all negotiations limited to Lebanese government delegates and focused on restoring state sovereignty and border security. Upcoming technical working groups on military coordination, borders, and implementation could influence whether conditions for broader talks emerge before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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