Democrat Christina Bohannan holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a competitive seat Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024. July surveys, including a Bullfinch Group poll, show Bohannan leading by 3 to 5 points in a head-to-head matchup, while earlier aggregates placed her slightly ahead of the incumbent. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June primaries, setting up a November general election that forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. An independent candidate draws modest support but has low name recognition. These factors underpin the market’s stronger consensus behind the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
78%
共和党
22%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,590 交易量
78%
共和党
$2,832 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Christina Bohannan holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a competitive seat Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024. July surveys, including a Bullfinch Group poll, show Bohannan leading by 3 to 5 points in a head-to-head matchup, while earlier aggregates placed her slightly ahead of the incumbent. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June primaries, setting up a November general election that forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. An independent candidate draws modest support but has low name recognition. These factors underpin the market’s stronger consensus behind the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,422结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democrat Christina Bohannan holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a competitive seat Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024. July surveys, including a Bullfinch Group poll, show Bohannan leading by 3 to 5 points in a head-to-head matchup, while earlier aggregates placed her slightly ahead of the incumbent. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June primaries, setting up a November general election that forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. An independent candidate draws modest support but has low name recognition. These factors underpin the market’s stronger consensus behind the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,422结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETDemocrat Christina Bohannan holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks in Iowa’s 1st congressional district, a competitive seat Trump carried by just 0.5 points in 2024. July surveys, including a Bullfinch Group poll, show Bohannan leading by 3 to 5 points in a head-to-head matchup, while earlier aggregates placed her slightly ahead of the incumbent. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June primaries, setting up a November general election that forecasters rate as a toss-up or lean Democratic. An independent candidate draws modest support but has low name recognition. These factors underpin the market’s stronger consensus behind the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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