Recent model consensus and official guidance point to a moderating cool front and peripheral typhoon influences bringing northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation that cap daytime heating in Wuhan on September 1. Highs have already eased from 32–34 °C in late August, with ensemble forecasts clustering near 28–31 °C as reduced insolation and advection of cooler air limit peak temperatures. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Final NMC updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles nearer the lower or upper end of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日武汉最高气温？
9月1日武汉最高气温？
29°C 27%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
26%
31°C
13%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 27%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
23°C or below
$120 交易量
<1%
24°C
$41 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1 交易量
1%
26°C
$58 交易量
3%
27°C
$98 交易量
6%
28°C
$421 交易量
22%
29°C
$162 交易量
27%
30°C
$284 交易量
26%
31°C
$177 交易量
13%
32°C
$21 交易量
6%
33°C or higher
$25 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance point to a moderating cool front and peripheral typhoon influences bringing northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation that cap daytime heating in Wuhan on September 1. Highs have already eased from 32–34 °C in late August, with ensemble forecasts clustering near 28–31 °C as reduced insolation and advection of cooler air limit peak temperatures. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Final NMC updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles nearer the lower or upper end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,408结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance point to a moderating cool front and peripheral typhoon influences bringing northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation that cap daytime heating in Wuhan on September 1. Highs have already eased from 32–34 °C in late August, with ensemble forecasts clustering near 28–31 °C as reduced insolation and advection of cooler air limit peak temperatures. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Final NMC updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles nearer the lower or upper end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,408结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus and official guidance point to a moderating cool front and peripheral typhoon influences bringing northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and light precipitation that cap daytime heating in Wuhan on September 1. Highs have already eased from 32–34 °C in late August, with ensemble forecasts clustering near 28–31 °C as reduced insolation and advection of cooler air limit peak temperatures. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and wind strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Final NMC updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the outcome settles nearer the lower or upper end of that range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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