Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 31 indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and a modest rain chance, driven by persistent northerly flow associated with typhoon-related trough influences that began suppressing temperatures after earlier August peaks above 35°C. This pattern favors moderate highs through reduced solar heating and advective cooling rather than the intense subtropical heating typical for late summer in the Yangtze valley. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 32°C and 33°C, consistent with model consensus from sources including GFS and local agencies, while lower odds for 34°C+ reflect the established cooling trajectory and elevated cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the near-term stability of this synoptic regime against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日武汉气温最高?
32°C 43%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
43%
33°C
32%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
33°C 32%
31°C 17%
34°C 7%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
43%
33°C
32%
34°C
7%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 31 indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and a modest rain chance, driven by persistent northerly flow associated with typhoon-related trough influences that began suppressing temperatures after earlier August peaks above 35°C. This pattern favors moderate highs through reduced solar heating and advective cooling rather than the intense subtropical heating typical for late summer in the Yangtze valley. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 32°C and 33°C, consistent with model consensus from sources including GFS and local agencies, while lower odds for 34°C+ reflect the established cooling trajectory and elevated cloud cover. Traders appear to weigh the near-term stability of this synoptic regime against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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