Recent MetService and ensemble model guidance positions a 14–15°C maximum for Wellington on September 21 as the most probable outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front. Spring climatology supports highs near 14°C on average, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating while strong gusts enhance mixing. Current runs show only modest warming potential, keeping 16°C a secondary possibility if the front slows. Traders have aligned with this consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 15°C, as official observations and short-range updates are unlikely to shift dramatically before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月21日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 56%
16°C 19%
14°C 14%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
14%
15°C
56%
16°C
28%
17°C
6%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C或更高
1%
15°C 56%
16°C 19%
14°C 14%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
11°C
$6 交易量
1%
12°C
$0 交易量
2%
13°C
$0 交易量
5%
14°C
$31 交易量
14%
15°C
$196 交易量
56%
16°C
$6 交易量
28%
17°C
$0 交易量
6%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
3%
20°C或更高
$6 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model guidance positions a 14–15°C maximum for Wellington on September 21 as the most probable outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front. Spring climatology supports highs near 14°C on average, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating while strong gusts enhance mixing. Current runs show only modest warming potential, keeping 16°C a secondary possibility if the front slows. Traders have aligned with this consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 15°C, as official observations and short-range updates are unlikely to shift dramatically before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$251结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and ensemble model guidance positions a 14–15°C maximum for Wellington on September 21 as the most probable outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front. Spring climatology supports highs near 14°C on average, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating while strong gusts enhance mixing. Current runs show only modest warming potential, keeping 16°C a secondary possibility if the front slows. Traders have aligned with this consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 15°C, as official observations and short-range updates are unlikely to shift dramatically before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$251结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService and ensemble model guidance positions a 14–15°C maximum for Wellington on September 21 as the most probable outcome, driven by a northwest flow advecting milder air ahead of an approaching front. Spring climatology supports highs near 14°C on average, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating while strong gusts enhance mixing. Current runs show only modest warming potential, keeping 16°C a secondary possibility if the front slows. Traders have aligned with this consensus, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 15°C, as official observations and short-range updates are unlikely to shift dramatically before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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