Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月2日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 69%
15°C 18%
17°C 14%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
18%
16°C
69%
17°C
14%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 69%
15°C 18%
17°C 14%
18°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
10°C or below
$295 交易量
1%
11°C
$305 交易量
1%
12°C
$397 交易量
<1%
13°C
$258 交易量
1%
14°C
$285 交易量
2%
15°C
$1,710 交易量
18%
16°C
$482 交易量
69%
17°C
$311 交易量
14%
18°C
$111 交易量
4%
19°C
$227 交易量
2%
20°C or higher
$222 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,603结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,603结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 15°C for Wellington on September 2 amid northwesterly winds and mostly sunny conditions, consistent with early-spring climatology where daily highs typically range 13–16°C. This positions 16°C as the modal outcome in trader consensus, with secondary support for 15°C or 17°C reflecting minor model spread in temperature and wind strength. No major synoptic shifts or cold-air intrusions have emerged in the latest runs to alter the narrow band of expected values, and the market-implied odds closely track the observed forecast envelope for this date. Updated model guidance closer to the event will provide the next key data point for any probability adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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