Current forecast models from sources including ilMeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office indicate a high of 31–33°C in Milan on August 31 under predominantly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the Po Valley. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, supporting afternoon peaks near or slightly above 31°C while overnight lows remain in the low 20s. The market's leading implied probability for 31°C reflects this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty this close to the observation period, though minor model variations in maximum temperature could shift outcomes toward 30°C or 32°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日米兰的最高温度？
8月31日米兰的最高温度？
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 8%
32°C 6%
最新
$13,229 交易量
最新
$13,229 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
36%
31°C
44%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 36%
29°C 8%
32°C 6%
最新
$13,229 交易量
最新
$13,229 交易量
2026-08-31
24°C or below
$1,540 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,158 交易量
<1%
26°C
$660 交易量
<1%
27°C
$257 交易量
<1%
28°C
$322 交易量
1%
29°C
$931 交易量
8%
30°C
$2,116 交易量
36%
31°C
$5,062 交易量
44%
32°C
$1,661 交易量
6%
33°C
$374 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$133 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ilMeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office indicate a high of 31–33°C in Milan on August 31 under predominantly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the Po Valley. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, supporting afternoon peaks near or slightly above 31°C while overnight lows remain in the low 20s. The market's leading implied probability for 31°C reflects this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty this close to the observation period, though minor model variations in maximum temperature could shift outcomes toward 30°C or 32°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$13,229结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ilMeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office indicate a high of 31–33°C in Milan on August 31 under predominantly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the Po Valley. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, supporting afternoon peaks near or slightly above 31°C while overnight lows remain in the low 20s. The market's leading implied probability for 31°C reflects this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty this close to the observation period, though minor model variations in maximum temperature could shift outcomes toward 30°C or 32°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,229结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources including ilMeteo, Yr.no, and the Met Office indicate a high of 31–33°C in Milan on August 31 under predominantly clear skies, light westerly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer in the Po Valley. These factors promote strong daytime solar heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, supporting afternoon peaks near or slightly above 31°C while overnight lows remain in the low 20s. The market's leading implied probability for 31°C reflects this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty this close to the observation period, though minor model variations in maximum temperature could shift outcomes toward 30°C or 32°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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