Recent forecast model consensus, including GFS runs, positions a 28°C high as the most likely outcome for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with market-implied odds near 59%. Northeasterly flow under building high pressure is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes, limiting daytime heating despite mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup matches mid-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 27–28°C. Shorter-range guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could push readings to 27°C or 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日上海气温最高？
9月15日上海气温最高？
28°C 60%
29°C 20%
27°C 14%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
60%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
1%
28°C 60%
29°C 20%
27°C 14%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
24°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
25°C
$70 交易量
7%
26°C
$98 交易量
4%
27°C
$419 交易量
14%
28°C
$645 交易量
60%
29°C
$539 交易量
20%
30°C
$93 交易量
4%
31°C
$10 交易量
3%
32°C
$10 交易量
5%
33°C
$10 交易量
2%
34°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus, including GFS runs, positions a 28°C high as the most likely outcome for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with market-implied odds near 59%. Northeasterly flow under building high pressure is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes, limiting daytime heating despite mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup matches mid-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 27–28°C. Shorter-range guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could push readings to 27°C or 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,913结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus, including GFS runs, positions a 28°C high as the most likely outcome for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with market-implied odds near 59%. Northeasterly flow under building high pressure is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes, limiting daytime heating despite mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup matches mid-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 27–28°C. Shorter-range guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could push readings to 27°C or 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,913结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETRecent forecast model consensus, including GFS runs, positions a 28°C high as the most likely outcome for Shanghai on September 15, aligning with market-implied odds near 59%. Northeasterly flow under building high pressure is advecting cooler, drier air from higher latitudes, limiting daytime heating despite mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup matches mid-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 27–28°C. Shorter-range guidance shows minimal spread across ensembles, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind strength could push readings to 27°C or 29°C. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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