Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 20, supported by medium-range guidance showing continued warm, humid conditions under mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon clearing. Model consensus on steering flow and moisture levels leaves room for variation: greater cloud cover or morning showers could cap heating near 27–29°C by reducing insolation, while stronger diurnal warming under partial breaks supports 30–32°C. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in precipitation probability and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could resolve the evenly distributed market-implied odds across this range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
30°C 35%
29°C 27%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
19%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 35%
29°C 27%
28°C 19%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
19%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
14%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 32–33°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 20, supported by medium-range guidance showing continued warm, humid conditions under mostly cloudy skies with limited afternoon clearing. Model consensus on steering flow and moisture levels leaves room for variation: greater cloud cover or morning showers could cap heating near 27–29°C by reducing insolation, while stronger diurnal warming under partial breaks supports 30–32°C. Historical August baselines near 30°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in precipitation probability and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could resolve the evenly distributed market-implied odds across this range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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