The observed maximum temperature of 71°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 29, 2026—recorded by NOAA at 2:06 p.m. PDT—aligned precisely with the market's 70-71°F outcome. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical summer cooling, with highs running 3°F below the 1991-2020 normal of 74°F. This setup, reinforced by sea breezes and limited afternoon clearing, produced conditions closely matching climatological patterns rather than anomalous heat. Stronger-than-expected marine influence or heavier cloud cover could have capped readings in the mid-60s, while a temporary marine layer breakdown might have allowed warmer inland advection to push values toward 74°F or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日旧金山气温最高？
8月29日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$60,949 交易量
$60,949 交易量
2026-08-29
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76华氏度或更高
否
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$60,949 交易量
$60,949 交易量
2026-08-29
57°F或以下
$188 交易量
否
58-59°F
$168 交易量
否
60-61°F
$129 交易量
否
62-63°F
$6,291 交易量
否
64-65°F
$9,961 交易量
否
66-67°F
$7,325 交易量
否
68-69°F
$23,890 交易量
否
70-71°F
$5,907 交易量
是
72-73°F
$2,624 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,933 交易量
否
76华氏度或更高
$1,532 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed maximum temperature of 71°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 29, 2026—recorded by NOAA at 2:06 p.m. PDT—aligned precisely with the market's 70-71°F outcome. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical summer cooling, with highs running 3°F below the 1991-2020 normal of 74°F. This setup, reinforced by sea breezes and limited afternoon clearing, produced conditions closely matching climatological patterns rather than anomalous heat. Stronger-than-expected marine influence or heavier cloud cover could have capped readings in the mid-60s, while a temporary marine layer breakdown might have allowed warmer inland advection to push values toward 74°F or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$60,949结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The observed maximum temperature of 71°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 29, 2026—recorded by NOAA at 2:06 p.m. PDT—aligned precisely with the market's 70-71°F outcome. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical summer cooling, with highs running 3°F below the 1991-2020 normal of 74°F. This setup, reinforced by sea breezes and limited afternoon clearing, produced conditions closely matching climatological patterns rather than anomalous heat. Stronger-than-expected marine influence or heavier cloud cover could have capped readings in the mid-60s, while a temporary marine layer breakdown might have allowed warmer inland advection to push values toward 74°F or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60,949结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The observed maximum temperature of 71°F at San Francisco International Airport on August 29, 2026—recorded by NOAA at 2:06 p.m. PDT—aligned precisely with the market's 70-71°F outcome. Persistent marine layer stratus, strong onshore flow from the cool California Current, and coastal upwelling maintained typical summer cooling, with highs running 3°F below the 1991-2020 normal of 74°F. This setup, reinforced by sea breezes and limited afternoon clearing, produced conditions closely matching climatological patterns rather than anomalous heat. Stronger-than-expected marine influence or heavier cloud cover could have capped readings in the mid-60s, while a temporary marine layer breakdown might have allowed warmer inland advection to push values toward 74°F or higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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