Recent forecast model consensus points to a warm Monday in Milan with light easterly to southeasterly winds, limited cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk, supporting a daily maximum in the 28–30°C range under a stable high-pressure pattern. Multiple sources show highs clustering near 27–29°C, with some runs reaching 30°C depending on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Trader positioning favoring 29°C and 30°C reflects this tight spread, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or 28°C and below capture residual uncertainty from evolving cloud fields and minor model differences in peak timing. Historical mid-September averages near 24–26°C underscore the current positive anomaly driven by the ongoing ridge. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日米兰的最高温度?
29°C 43%
30°C 40%
28°C 17%
31°C或更高 15%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
17%
29°C
43%
30°C
34%
31°C或更高
15%
29°C 43%
30°C 40%
28°C 17%
31°C或更高 15%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
17%
29°C
43%
30°C
34%
31°C或更高
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus points to a warm Monday in Milan with light easterly to southeasterly winds, limited cloud cover, and negligible precipitation risk, supporting a daily maximum in the 28–30°C range under a stable high-pressure pattern. Multiple sources show highs clustering near 27–29°C, with some runs reaching 30°C depending on afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Trader positioning favoring 29°C and 30°C reflects this tight spread, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ or 28°C and below capture residual uncertainty from evolving cloud fields and minor model differences in peak timing. Historical mid-September averages near 24–26°C underscore the current positive anomaly driven by the ongoing ridge. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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